FIFA World Cup 2026 · Transparent model
Every probability,
shown and graded in public.
One Elo + Poisson model, calibrated on thousands of historical internationals and open to inspection. It shows every probability next to the market price and flags where the two genuinely disagree. Analysis, not tips.
No scheduled matches right now — the schedule fills in ahead of kick-off (11 June).
The Guardian
France v Italy: Nations League football – live
France
The Guardian
Manchester City’s England players are worried about their futures, admits Tuchel
EnglandCroatia
The Guardian
USA v Mexico, Nations League, F1 in Malaysia and NFL – follow with us
MexicoUSA
BBC Sport team news
Why Aston Villa are playing Sevilla for a trophy you haven't heard of
Spain
BBC Sport team news
Tuchel would never rule out players not in top flight
England
The Guardian team news
Football Daily | Manchester City lace up their gloves ready for another round. Bring your dinner
SpainArgentinaPortugal
BBC Sport team news
Tankards, Clough & 'creaky joints' - Tennent's Sixes returns
Scotland
BBC Sport
Giant Dzeko shirt unveiled in Sarajevo to mark retirement
Bosnia & Herzegovina
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