FIFA World Cup 2026 · Transparent model
Every probability,
shown and graded in public.
One Elo + Poisson model, calibrated on thousands of historical internationals and open to inspection. It shows every probability next to the market price and flags where the two genuinely disagree. Analysis, not tips.
No scheduled matches right now — the schedule fills in ahead of kick-off (11 June).
The Guardian
Arsenal target Vinícius says Mourinho ‘wants me to be happy’ at Real Madrid
Brazil
The Guardian team news
USMNT to face Mexico and Canada in friendlies to kick off 2030 World Cup cycle
MexicoCanadaUSA
BBC Sport
Cape Verde coach Bubista resigns as Ivory Coast reappoint Renard
Ivory CoastCape Verde
The Guardian
Football Daily | Chelsea, Jordan Henderson and a transfer pivot for the ages
JordanEngland
BBC Sport
Man City lose forward Kerolin to Barcelona
Brazil
BBC Sport
What did Premiership start tell us about Scottish sides' Euro hopes?
Scotland
BBC Sport
Rico Lewis' sister Sacha turns pro with Man City
England
BBC Sport team news
Retired Taylor named head of refereeing in Turkey
Turkey
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